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PRIVATE RESEARCH NOTE · PREPARED FOR YOU
CNE.L — Palliser's second rodeo, and why Cairo now holds the casting vote
PRICE
GBp 346
MKT CAP
GBp 237M
P/E
9.4x
P/B
0.5x
EV/EBITDA
1.6x
FCF YIELD
33.5%
Capricorn is a merger-arb bet paying ~3% for Genel's cash exit, with the entire spread riding on one EGPC signature.
Why now — Genel agreed to buy Capricorn for $360m cash yesterday; at 346p the market still prices meaningful doubt about a deal whose real risk is a single administrative signature in Cairo…
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